How a lot oil will the realm eat in 2011? What position will OPEC play in worldwide oil construction? Will biofuels develop into a huge a part of the oil industry? The foreign power Agency's (IEA) MEDIUM-TERM Oil marketplace file tackles those questions, adopting a standpoint that is going past the normal temporary marketplace research supplied within the IEA's per thirty days Oil industry ReportDrawing on present futures curves and the funding threshold for upstream initiatives, the MEDIUM-TERM Oil industry file analyses how international call for and provide balances may well advance within the subsequent 5 years. The forecasts glance intimately at product call for and the provision strength from all of the firmly deliberate person upstream and downstream initiatives around the globe. the consequences supply necessary insights on important concerns resembling surplus construction ability and product supply.Policymakers, marketplace analysts, strength specialists and somebody attracted to realizing and following tendencies within the oil industry should still locate this document tremendous precious. The MEDIUM -TERM Oil industry document is a different point within the lEA's robust dedication to bettering and increasing the standard, timeliness and accuracy of strength info and research.
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Extra info for Medium-Term Oil Market Report
2 mb/d by 2011. However, even before recent geopolitical tensions took centre stage and placed additional uncertainty around investment prospects, there were real doubts that capacity could come close to such exalted levels. Decline rates at aging onshore fields are reported by the government to be around 8% annually. The ‘buy-back’ system of service contracts offered to foreign operators is widely seen as unattractive and revisions to the basic format are currently being examined. Mandatory local supplier content is reported to be delaying some development projects, and discoveries such as the long-delayed Azadegan are seen to be increasingly technically complex.
Tighter quality specifications will become more common over the period. More restrictive quality specification have fragmented product markets and contributed to increased capital costs for new-build refineries. • Gasoline supply potential is expected to outstrip demand in volumetric terms. However, tighter quality specifications may continue to support cracks at levels above historical norms. As highlighted elsewhere in this report, ethanol will capture an increasing share of the gasoline market, with supplies reaching 1 mb/d by 2011.
8 mb/d throughout the forecast period. 0 mb/d by 2010 for now looks over ambitious bearing in mind new project lead times. 7 mb/d during the 2006-2011 period. 3 mb/d of crude distillation capacity from known refinery start-ups and the expansion of existing facilities. 4 mb/d of growth in distillation capacity is expected to come from capacity creep in North America, Europe and the Pacific. • Distillation capacity growth is expected to lag demand growth during 2006-2009. 2 mb/d. 7 mb/d of new capacity.
Medium-Term Oil Market Report by IEA